Silver Closes Over $30, China Cuts Rare Earth Export Quota

Congratulations to silver investors, silver closed above $30 once again on an overdue extension from the 20 day MA. Though the volume wasn’t quite as high as I expected, price activity did exactly what I had been predicting over the last several days.

Spot Silver

iShares Silver Trust Up on above average volume.


I expect the volume to pick up tomorrow – and don’t be surprised if we take out the 30 yr high and possibly even close above it.

The top point of the wedge is $30.67 while the bottom is $27.97 and the breakout point is 29.24 which was the opening price today.


$30.67 – $27.97 = $2.70

$29.24 + $2.70 = $31.94

I believe the price target I’ve set for January was $32, you can see that the price target set by the wedge agrees.

In other metals news, Rare Earths had a big day as China cut its rare earth export quota and almost all of the sector was up substantially. Great Western Minerals finished up 12.5%, Rare Element Resources finished up 10.32%, Avalon Rare Metals finished up 9.91%, and Lynas Corp finished up 11.73%.

Only Molycorp finished lower as they reversed midday after being up by 7.7% at one point and eventually closing down 1%. The reversal was dramatic and covered a lot of ground but did not manage to become a key reversal and it also left a 14 day and an 11 day trendline intact. I expect some consolidation of the stock, but remain bullish about the company’s future.


About Aaron Basile
Market Technician, Equity/Commodity Trader, Austrian Economist, Contrarian Investor

4 Responses to Silver Closes Over $30, China Cuts Rare Earth Export Quota

  1. Pingback: Tweets that mention Silver Closes Over $30, China Cuts Rare Earth Export Quota « Aaron Basile --

  2. Pingback: Kentura » Rare Earth

  3. Rene from Cape Cod says:

    I am fortunate to have invested in physical silver for a while now and it’s great to get Aaron’s perspective via Email. It’s over my head sometimes but most of it I can understand.

    Thanks, Aaron,

    • aaronbasile says:

      Stay on the silver train Rene :)

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